When Xiaomi smartphones will fall in price in 2026-2026: an accurate forecast and buying strategy

Xiaomi's smartphone prices are one of the most talked-about topics among buyers, and the brand is known for its price-performance ratio, but even its devices sometimes seem more expensive than you'd like. When should we expect prices to decline? The answer depends on a variety of factors, from seasonal sales to global economic trends.

In this article, we will look at which Xiaomi models have a chance to fall in price in the coming months, how to monitor price dynamics and what periods to focus on for a profitable purchase, and also reveal the hidden pricing mechanisms that sellers are silent about.

Spoiler: If you’re planning to buy Xiaomi’s flagship 14 Ultra or budget Redmi Note 13, don’t rush to put money in today.There are at least 3 periods a year when prices fall 15-30% – and we’ll tell you how not to miss them.

1.Why Xiaomi smartphones are getting more expensive or cheaper: key factors

The price of a smartphone is not just a price tag, it is shaped by global and local factors, some of which Xiaomi does not control.

🔹 Currency rate: Most components for smartphones (Qualcomm processors, Samsung memory, displays) BOE) If the ruble or hryvnia weakens, retail prices rise, even if the cost of the device has not changed. 12T Pro in Russia rose by 20% because of the course.

🔹 Seasonal demand: Just like fashion, smartphones have "seasons»:

• 🎄 New Year and Christmas – peak demand, prices are consistently high.
• 🎓 May-June – graduation, university admissions, demand for budget models (Redmi, POCO) growing.
• 🛍️ Black Friday and Cyber Monday are artificially inflating prices a month before a stock, then “reducing” them to real market value.

🔹 New models are released. Xiaomi updates its lineup every 6-12 months. When Xiaomi 15 is announced, the old flagships (Xiaomi 14, 13T) Redmis are cheaper by 10-15% in 2-3 weeks, but budget Redmis can stay at the same price for years - they are updated less often.

⚠️ Warning: If you see Xiaomi’s price plummeting 30-40% in a week, check the model for originality. Often under the guise of “sales,” gray imported devices are sold without warranty or replica.

2. Sales calendar 2026–2026: when to wait for discounts on Xiaomi

If you don’t want to overpay, remember these dates – during these periods, Xiaomi prices traditionally go down:

The best time to buy is November (Black Friday) and January (sales of leftovers), but there is a caveat: many stores raise prices in advance to then hit them with a discount. For example, the Redmi Note 12 Pro in October 2023 cost 25 000. ₽, And the week before Black Friday, it suddenly went up to 28,000. ₽, Then it's sold for $23,000. ₽ (Which is actually below the market price).

In 2026, Xiaomi officially announced a reduction in discounts on new models in the first 3 months after the release.This means that the Xiaomi 15 (expected in March 2026) will not fall in price until June 2026.

3.What Xiaomi models will fall in price in 2026: the forecast for the lines

Not all Xiaomi smartphones are getting the same price, here's what to expect from different series:

📱 Flagships (Xiaomi) 13/14, Mix Fold):

• 📉 15-25% decrease 4-6 months after release.
• 🔄 The best time to buy is 1-2 months before the announcement of the new model (for example, Xiaomi 14 fell in price in February 2026 before the release of Xiaomi 15).
• ⚠️ Risk: may disappear from the official sale (will remain only at resellers at an inflated price).

📱 Mid-segment (POCO F5, Xiaomi 13 Lite):

• 📉 Cheaper by 10-20% in 3-4 months after release.
• 💰 The most stable discounts - during summer sales (June-August).
• ⚠️ Often sold complete with wireless headphones or cases - this can be more profitable than a net discount.

📱 Budget models (Redmi Note) 12/13, POCO M6):

• 📉 Prices are almost unchanged throughout the year, except for Black Friday (discount 5-10%).
• 🔄 New models come out every 12-18 months, so the old ones are in no hurry to get cheaper.
• ⚠️ Sometimes it’s cheaper to buy a new model than to wait for a discount on the old one (for example, the Redmi Note 13 may cost less than the Note 12 on sale).

4.How to track the fall in prices: tools and life hacks

Waiting for the weather is not a good strategy, and if you want to buy Xiaomi at the lowest price, use these methods:

🔍 Price monitoring services:

• 📊 Hotline (Ukraine) - shows a chart of price changes for 6 months.
• 📈 Yandex Market (Russia) – compares prices in different stores and tracks the dynamics.
• 🌍 Keepa (for AliExpress) – analyzes prices from Chinese sellers.

🛒 Secrets of buying in official stores:

• 🎁 Sign up for Xiaomi newsletter – sometimes discounts for subscribers are 2–5% higher.
• 💳 Use cashback services (e.g. LetyShops or EPN) – you can return 3-10% of the purchase.
• 🔄 Check the Refurbished section on the official website – there are devices 15-30% cheaper (with a guarantee).

⚠️ If you see Xiaomi 40-50% cheaper than the market, check it out:

❌ Is the name of the word “Global Version” (it can be Chinese firmware without Google services). ❌ Is the status of "B/U" or "Return" indicated». ❌ Is there a complete set of inscriptions "Without charging" (sometimes sell only the case).

5.When you should not wait for a price reduction Xiaomi

There are situations where it's pointless to hope for discounts -- and sometimes even harmful -- that's when you should buy a smartphone right now.

❌ New products of the first 3 months. Xiaomi artificially maintains high prices for new models to pay off marketing. for example, Xiaomi 14 in December 2023 was worth 70 000 ₽, And after 3 months, it's the same 68,000. ₽.

❌ Models with scarce components: If the smartphone is equipped with a unique chip (for example, Dimensity 9200)+ Xiaomi 13T Pro, its price will be stable until the end of production.

❌ Before big events, a month before Black Friday or a new model comes out, stores often raise prices to hit them with a discount, POCO X5 Pro in October 2023 rose by 3 000 ₽ before the November sales.

💡 Lifehack: If you need a smartphone urgently but your budget is tight, consider buying a last-generation smartphone from official retail. 12T in 2026, it is sold cheaper than Xiaomi 13, but in terms of performance it is inferior only by 10-15%.

💡

If you see that the price of Xiaomi in one store has fallen sharply, and in others remained the same - most likely it is either a fake or the store is trying to get rid of the defective lot.

6. Alternative ways to save money on Xiaomi (except for waiting for discounts)

Waiting for sales isn’t the only way to buy Xiaomi cheaper. Here are 5 proven methods:

🔄 Trade-in (exchange of old smartphone):

• 📱 In official Xiaomi stores give a discount of up to 10 000 ₽ For the old machine (even if it is broken).
• ⚠️ But, the estimate is often understated, for example, an iPhone 11 in good condition can offer 15 000. ₽, While on Avito it sells for 22,000. ₽.

🌐 Buying abroad:

• 🇨🇳 In China (on AliExpress or Taobao) smartphones are cheaper by 20-30%, but there are risks:
• 🇪🇺 In Europe (e.g. Amazon) DE/ES) lower 10–15%, But you'll have to pay the taxes.

🔧 Buying as New (Refurbished):

• 🔧 Xiaomi’s official store has a refurbished device section with a 1-year warranty.
• 💰 Price is lower by 20-30%, and the condition is almost perfect (replaced battery, screen, body).
• ⚠️ Check that the description contains the word “Official Refurbished” – this means that the restoration was done by Xiaomi, not the reseller.

📦 Purchase complete:

• 🎧 Sometimes it is more profitable to buy a smartphone with wireless headphones or smart watches than to wait for a discount.
• 🔋 For example, Xiaomi 13 Lite + Redmi Buds 4 Pro may cost less than the smartphone itself on sale.

💳 Credit or installment:

• 💸 Some banks (for example, Tinkoff or Monobank) have a cashback of 5-10% for the purchase of equipment.
• ⚠️ But: If you take out a loan, the overpayment can eat up all the savings from the discount.

💡

The most reliable way to save money is to buy a Xiaomi smartphone of the last generation in the official store during sales. 12T Pro in 2026 is cheaper than Xiaomi 13, but the characteristics are inferior to only 10-15%.

7. Xiaomi price forecast in 2026: what to expect

2026 could be a watershed for the smartphone market — and for Xiaomi in particular.

📉 Factors that can lower prices:

• 🔋 Falling memory and processor prices (TrendForce forecasts, NAND-Memory will fall by 10-15% by the middle of 2026).
• 🤖 Competition with Realme, Oppo and Samsung in the budget segment will force Xiaomi to reduce the price of Redmi and Samsung. POCO.
• 🌍 Easing geopolitical tensions could stabilize logistics and lower import prices.

📈 Factors that can raise prices:

• 💰 New duties on electronics (for example, in the EU from 2026 may introduce an additional tax on smartphones).
• 🔧 Switching to more expensive processors (Snapdragon 8 Gen 4 will be more expensive Gen 3 by 15-20%).
• 📦 Increase in packaging costs (in the EU from 2026 mandatory eco-packaging, which can raise the price by 1-3%).

🔮 Forecast of models:

• Xiaomi 15 – the starting price will be 10% higher than the Xiaomi 14, but after 6 months will fall by 20%.
• Redmi Note 14 – will remain in the same price range as the Note 13 (15,000–20,000) ₽).
• POCO F6 — It could fall by 15% due to competition with Realme. GT 6.
• Xiaomi Mix Fold 4 – the price will increase by 5-10% due to the expensive folding screen.

FAQ: Frequent questions about Xiaomi price cuts